2023 Emmy predictions in all major categories; 12 days left to vote – The Hollywood Reporter
PLEASE NOTE: This forecast, compiled by The Hollywood ReporterScott Feinberg, Editor-in-Chief of Awards Coverage, describes his best attempt at predicting the behavior of the Academy of Television Arts and Sciences. not his personal preferences. He arrives at this point by drawing on consultations with voters and strategists, analysis of marketing and campaigns, results from pre-Emmy awards, and the history of the Emmys themselves.
*BEST DRAMA SERIES*
Estimated Placement
successor (HBO/Max)
The White Lotus (HBO/Max)
The last of us (HBO/Max)
Better call Saul (AMC)
house of the dragon (HBO/Max)
Andor (Disney+)
The crown (netflix)
Yellow jackets (Show time)
*BEST COMEDY SERIES*
Estimated Placement
The bear (FX)
Ted Lasso (AppleTV+)
Abbott Elementary School (ABC)
barry (HBO/Max)
jury duty (Amazon Freevee)
The wonderful Mrs. Maisel (Amazon)
Only murders in the building (hulu)
Wednesday (netflix)
*BEST LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES*
Estimated Placement
beef (netflix)
Dahmer – Monsters: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story (netflix)
Daisy Jones and the Six (Amazon)
Fleishman is in trouble (FX)
Obi Wan Kenobi (Disney+)
*BEST TV FILM*
Estimated Placement
Strange: The Al Yankovic Story (Roku Channel)
prey (hulu)
fire island (hulu)
Dolly Parton’s Mountain Magic Christmas (NBC) – Podcast [Dolly Parton]
Hocus pocus 2 (Disney+)
*BEST VARIETY TALK SERIES*
Estimated Placement
The Late Show with Stephen Colbert (CBS) – Podcast [Stephen Colbert]
Jimmy Kimmel Live! (ABC) – Podcast [Jimmy Kimmel]
The Daily Show with Trevor Noah (Comedy Central) – Podcast [Trevor Noah]
The problem with Jon Stewart (AppleTV+)
Late Night with Seth Meyers (NBC) – Podcast [Seth Meyers]
*BEST WRITTEN VARIETY SERIES*
Estimated Placement
Last week tonight with John Oliver (HBO/Max)
Saturday night live (NBC) – Podcast [Lorne Michaels]
A black lady sketch show (HBO/Max) – Podcast [Robin Thede]
*BEST DIVERSITY SPECIAL (LIVE)*
Estimated Placement
The Apple Music Super Bowl LVII Halftime Show with Rihanna (Fox)
Chris Rock: Selective outrage (netflix)
Elton John Live: Farewell to Dodger Stadium (Disney+) – Podcasts [Elton John & Ben Winston]
The Oscars (ABC) – Podcast (Jimmy Kimmel)
The 75th Annual Tony Awards (CBS)
*BEST STRAIN SPECIAL (PRE-RECORDED)*
Estimated Placement
John MulaneyBaby J (Netflix) – Podcast [John Mulaney]
Carol Burnett: 90 years of laughter + love (NBC) – Podcast [Carol Burnett]
Norman Lear: 100 Years of Music and Laughter (ABC) – Podcast [Norman Lear]
Trevor Noah: I wish you would (Netflix) – Podcast [Trevor Noah]
Wanda Sykes: I’m an entertainer (netflix)
Lizzo: Live in concert (HBO/Max) – Podcast [Lizzo]
*BEST DOCUMENTARY OR Fiction SERIES*
Estimated Placement
The United States and the Holocaust (PBS) – Podcast [Ken Burns]
Secrets of the Elephants (Nat Geo)
100 foot wave (HBO/Max)
The 1619 project (hulu)
Dear Mom: The Saga of Afeni and Tupac Shakur (FX)
*BEST DOCUMENTARY OR FACTORY RULES SPECIALIST*
Estimated Placement
Nevertheless: A Michael J. Fox film (Apple TV+) — podcast [Davis Guggenheim]
I’m Mary Tyler Moore (HBO/Max)
Judy flower forever (Amazon)
Pamela: A love story (netflix)
My transparent life (Amazon)
*BEST HOSTED NON-CASH TRIP OR SPECIAL*
Estimated Placement
“My Next Guest Needs No Introduction” starring David Letterman and Volodymyr Zelenskyy (Netflix) – Podcast (David Letterman)
Stanley Tucci: In Search of Italy (CNN)
The Light We Wear: Michelle Obama and Oprah Winfrey (netflix)
The United Shades of America with W Kamau Bell (CNN)
Taste the nation with Padma Lakshmi (hulu)
*BEST STRUCTURED REALITY PROGRAM*
Estimated Placement
Queer Eye (netflix)
shark tank (ABC) – Podcast [Mark Cuban]
love is blind (netflix)
Antiques Roadshow (PBS)
Diners, drive-ins and dives (Eat)
*BEST UNSTRUCTURED REALITY PROGRAM*
Estimated Placement
RuPaul’s Drag Race: Untucked (MTV) – Podcast [RuPaul]
Welcome to Wrexham (FX) – Podcast [Ryan Reynolds]
Indian matchmaking (netflix)
Sell Sunset (netflix)
Vanderpump Rules (Bravo)
*BEST REALITY COMPETITION PROGRAM*
Estimated Placement
RuPaul’s Drag Race (MTV) – Podcast [RuPaul]
The voice (NBC)
The amazing race (CBS)
top chef (Bravo)
survivor (CBS)
*BEST GAME SHOW*
Estimated Placement
Danger! (Syndicated)
The price is correct (CBS)
wheel of fortune (Syndicated)
Family disputes (Syndicated)
This is my jam (NBC)
*BEST ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES*
Estimated Placement
Pedro Pascal (The last of us)
Jeremy Strong (successor) – podcast
Kieran Culkin (successor)
Bob Odenkirk (Better call Saul) – podcast
Jeff Bridges (The old man) – podcast
Brian Cox (successor) — podcast
*BEST ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES*
Estimated Placement
Sarah Snook (successor) — podcast
Bella Ramsey (The last of us)
Sharon Horgan (bad sisters)
Melanie Lynskey (Yellow jackets)
Keri Russell (The diplomat) – podcast
Elizabeth Moss (The story of the maid) – podcast
*BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES*
Estimated Placement
Matthew Macfadyen (successor)
Nicholas Brown (successor)
F Murray Abraham (The White Lotus) — podcast
Alan Ruck (successor)
Alexander skarsgard (successor) – podcast
Michael Imperioli (The White Lotus)
Will Sharpe (The White Lotus)
Theo James (The White Lotus)
*BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES*
Estimated Placement
Jennifer Coolidge (The White Lotus)
Rhea Seehorn (Better call Saul) – podcast
J. Smith-Cameron (successor)
Elizabeth Debicki (The crown)
Aubrey Plaza (The White Lotus) – podcast
Meghan Fahy (The White Lotus)
Simona Tabasco (The White Lotus)
Sabrina Impacciatore (The White Lotus)
*OUTSTANDING GUEST ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES*
Estimated Placement
Nick Offerman (The last of us)
Murray Bartlett (The last of us)
James Cromwell (successor)
Lamar Johnson (The last of us)
Keivonn Montreal Woodard (The last of us)
Arian Moayed (successor)
*BEST GUEST ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES*
Estimated Placement
Anna Torv (The last of us)
Harriet Walter (successor)
Hiam Abbass (successor)
Cherry Jones (successor)
Storm Reid (The last of us)
Melanie Lynskey (The last of us)
*BEST ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES*
Estimated Placement
Jeremy Allen White (The bear)
Jason Sudeikis (Ted Lasso)
Bill Hader (barry) — podcast
Martin Short (Only murders in the building) – podcast
Jason Segel (shrinkage) – podcast
*BEST ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES*
Estimated Placement
Quinta Brunson (Abbott Elementary School) — podcast
Christina Applegate (dead to me)
Rachel Brosnahan (The wonderful Mrs. Maisel) – podcast
Jenna Ortega (Wednesday)
Natasha Lyonne (poker face) – podcast
*BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES*
Estimated Placement
James Marsden (jury duty)
Tyler James Williams (Abbott Elementary School)
Brett Goldstein (Ted Lasso)
Ebon Moss-Bachrach (The bear)
Phil Dunster (Ted Lasso)
Henry Winkler (barry) – podcast
Anthony Carrigan (barry)
*BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES*
Estimated Placement
Ayo Edebiri (The bear)
Sheryl Lee Ralph (Abbott Elementary School) – podcast
Hannah Waddingham (Ted Lasso)
Janelle James (Abbott Elementary School)
Alex Borstein (The wonderful Mrs. Maisel) — podcast
Juno Temple (Ted Lasso)
Jessica Williams (shrinkage)
*BEST GUEST ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES*
Estimated Placement
Pedro Pascal (Saturday night live)
Nathan Lane (Only murders in the building)
Oliver Platt (The bear)
Sam Richardson (Ted Lasso)
Luke Kirby (The wonderful Mrs. Maisel)
Jon Bernthal (The bear)
*BEST GUEST ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES*
Estimated Placement
Taraji P. Henson (Abbott Elementary School) — podcast
Quinta Brunson (Saturday night live) — podcast
Judith Light (poker face) – podcast
Sarah Niles (Ted Lasso)
Harriet Walter (Ted Lasso)
Becky Ann Baker (Ted Lasso)
*BEST ACTOR IN A LIMITED SERIES OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES OR TV MOVIE*
Estimated Placement
Evan Peters (Dahmer – Monsters: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story)
Steven Yeun (beef) – podcast
Taron Egerton (Black bird) – podcast
Daniel Radcliffe (Strange: The Al Yankovic Story)
Michael Shannon (George & Tammy) – podcast
Kumail Nanjiani (Welcome to Chippendales) – podcast
*BEST ACTRESS IN A LIMITED SERIES OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES OR TV MOVIE*
Estimated Placement
Ali Wong (beef)
Jessica Chastain (George & Tammy) — podcast
Riley Keough (Daisy Jones and the Six)
Kathryn Hahn (small beautiful things) – podcast
Dominique Fishback (swarm)
Lizzy Caplan (Fleishman is in trouble)
*BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A LIMITED SERIES OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES OR TV MOVIE*
Estimated Placement
Paul Walter Hauser (Black bird) – podcast
Ray Liotta (Black bird) — podcast
Young Mazino (beef)
Joseph Lee (beef)
Richard Jenkins (Dahmer – Monsters: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story)
Murray Bartlett (Welcome to Chippendales)
Jesse Plemons (love death)
*BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A LIMITED SERIES OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES OR TV MOVIE*
Estimated Placement
Niecy Nash-Betts (Dahmer – Monsters: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story)
Claire Danes (Fleishman is in trouble) – podcast
Merritt Wever (small beautiful things)
Camila Morrone (Daisy Jones and the Six)
Maria Bello (beef)
Annaleigh Ashford (Welcome to Chippendales)
Juliet Lewis (Welcome to Chippendales)
