Ohio poll shows Trump Nod could put JD Vance over top

Polls show a nod from former President Donald Trump could put Ohio Republican US Senate nominee JD Vance in the lead.

Vance, an insurgent candidate who has run an impressive campaign on an uncompromising America-first platform, is now in second place according to the eminent Trafalgar pollster and could rise to first place if the rumored confirmation arrives.

With the Republican primary in Ohio just weeks away on May 3rd, it’s all at stake. By Trafalgarhere is the overview…

Former Ohio Treasurer Josh Mandel leads the crowded field with 28 percent support.

The jump to second place is Backwoods Elegy Author Vance with 22.6 percent support.

In third place is former leader Mike Gibbons with just 14.3 percent.

Matt Dolan, Jane Timken, Mark Pukita, and Neil Patel are at 11.6, 7.5, 2.1, and 0.8 percent, respectively.

The potential game-changer in this poll is Trump’s coveted endorsement. When Trafalgar asked Republican primary voters whether a “Trump endorsement would make them more or less likely to support this candidate,” 54.9 percent said “somewhat likely.” Only 25.7 percent said “less likely”.

There are many rumors that Trump is preparing to endorse Vance, and those rumors are likely a test balloon from Team Trump.

Supporting Vance would be a smart move on Trump’s part. As I’ll explain below, Vance is rising, and at the right time. This means the former president could polish his kingmaker image all the more with a timely nod in Vance’s direction.

As for Vance’s rise, a Fox News poll earlier this month showed him languishing in third place with just 11 percent support. In late February, a previous survey from the hill/Emerson showed him at eight points.


US Senate candidate JD Vance speaks to potential voters at the campaign trail April 11, 2022 in Troy, Ohio. Vance, a prominent author, announced his candidacy in July 2021 to replace retired Senator Robert Portman (R-OH). (Gaelen Morse/Getty Images)

Notable, however, is Vance’s improvement with Trafalgar. Last month, Vance was down just 14 percent. So in the same poll, he’s up almost nine points. And let’s not forget that Trafalgar blows Fox News’ idiotic pollsters out of the water.

Also noteworthy is the slide of Gibbons. Widely regarded as a front runner, his campaign was plagued by some serious missteps. Just last week, the multimillionaire investment banker said the middle class “don’t really pay their fair share” in taxes.

In late March, Gibbons (along with Mandel) said he supported a no-fly zone over Ukraine, which would effectively mean America declaring war on Russia. If we shoot down a Russian plane, which is the only way to enforce a no-fly zone, that is an open act of war.

Vance blasted this madness into a few tweets:

Middle class tax hikes and war on Russia are not only two of the worst ideas in worst idea history, but also reveal a candidate who may not be ready for primetime. As for the no-fly zone insanity, if a media-produced moral panic can manipulate Gibbons (and Mandel) into saying it’s time for America to shoot down Russian planes, how will they withstand media onslaught during a general election? Consistency and competence are what win elections.

As for Gibbon’s outrageous claim that the middle class isn’t taxed enough, Democrats have to drool over this beauty.

I can’t think of anything a Democrat would rather do than move to the right of a Republican on the middle-class tax issue.

By the way, I’m not a big fan of memoirs, especially memoirs written by young people. Almost all of them are narcissistic and superficial. Still, because it was such a phenomenon, and long before I knew anything about Vance’s politics, I read Backwoods Elegy and thought it was great. His empathy and understanding of what plagues America’s working class and poor was on every page, and none of it was condescending.

Best of all, while the memoir was embraced by the media elite (at least until Vance first went to America), it wasn’t written to impress them.

Follow John Nolte on Twitter @NolteNC. Follow his Facebook page here. Ohio poll shows Trump Nod could put JD Vance over top

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