Steelers vs. Browns Odds, Line, Spread: Thursday Night Football Picks, NFL Model Predictions on 139-102 Run

The eyes of the NFL world will be on FirstEnergy Stadium for Thursday Night Football. The Cleveland Browns will welcome the Pittsburgh Steelers to town to open Week 3 of the NFL schedule. Cleveland and Pittsburgh both go off with 1-1 records after Week 2 losses. The Browns squandered a 13-point lead in the final two minutes of Sunday’s loss to the New York Jets, leaving the Steelers 17-14 behind the Patriots.

Kickoff is at 8:15 p.m. ET in Cleveland. Caesars Sportsbook lists Cleveland as a 5-point favorite while the over/under, or total points Vegas believes will be scored, is 38.5 in the latest Steelers vs. Browns odds. Before you make any Browns vs. Steelers selection, it’s something you should definitely do View NFL predictions and recommended bets from SportsLine’s trusted computer model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has won more than $7,000 for $100 players with top-tier NFL picks since its inception. The model goes on to top ratings in Week 3 of the 2022 NFL season with an incredible 139-102 run NFL selection This goes back to the 2017 season.

The model has also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch in four of the last six years with straight NFL picks, beating more than 94% of CBS Sports football pick ’em players four times in that span. Whoever followed it is way up.

Now the model has set its sights on itself Steelers versus Brownsand just locked in his Thursday night football picks and predictions. You can now go to SportsLine to see the model selection. Well, here are several NFL Odds and betting lines for Browns vs. Steelers:

  • Spread Steelers vs. Browns: Browns -5
  • Steelers vs. Browns Over/Under: 38.5 points
  • Steelers vs. Browns money line: Browns -220, Steelers +180
  • PIT: Steelers have played 9-10-1 against the spread for the last 20 games
  • CLE: Browns have played 8-11 against the spread in their last 19 games
  • Steelers vs. Browns tips: See tips at SportsLine

Featured Game | Cleveland Browns vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Why the Steelers can cover

Pittsburgh certainly misses TJ Watt as he is one of the best defensive players in the NFL. Still, Mike Tomlin’s squad remains strong defensively, dropping just 18.5 points per game and just 17 points in the first game without Watts. The Steelers have five interceptions this season, the second most in the NFL, and Pittsburgh is managing 25% defensive possession turnover, a top-five mark in the league.

Opponents are averaging just 4.0 yards per carry in two games against Pittsburgh, and the Steelers still have a top-notch difference maker in Minkah Fitzpatrick. The two-time All-Pro defensive back has two interceptions this season, including one for a touchdown, and 20 combined tackles, while Fitzpatrick had 124 tackles in 2021. Also, Cleveland’s offense isn’t very dynamic in the absence of Deshaun Watson. The Browns are below NFL averages in passing yards and passing yards per attempt, and Cleveland’s passing game projects are said to be pedestrians with Jacoby Brissett leading the way.

Why the Browns can cover

Cleveland’s defense is also talented, but the Browns are playing at a very high level offensively this season. The Browns have just one turnover in two games, and Cleveland leads the NFL with 52.4% of offensive possessions. Cleveland is averaging 2.71 points per possession, a top-five number, and averaging 28 points per game. Beyond the scoreboard, the Browns are in the top 10 in the league with 380 total yards per game, and Cleveland is the elite on the ground.

The Browns average more than 200 rushing yards per game, generate 5.3 yards per carry and produce four rushing touchdowns. Cleveland is in the top three in the league with 52 first downs and in the top five in third-down efficiency, moving the chains 53.3% of the time. With Nick Chubb anchoring the running game and the addition of Amari Cooper on the outside, the Browns were able to maintain their strong efficiency even with Deshaun Watson suspended and Jacoby Brissett leading offense.

How to make Browns vs. Steelers picks

SportsLine’s model takes the total and projects 42 combined points scored. The model also says that one side of the variance is true in well over 50% of the simulations. You can only see the model’s Steelers vs. Browns picks at SportsLine.

So, who will win Steelers vs. Browns on Thursday Night Football? And which side of the spread applies well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Browns vs. Steelers spread to jump to, all from the model, which is 139-102 on NFL picksand find out. Steelers vs. Browns Odds, Line, Spread: Thursday Night Football Picks, NFL Model Predictions on 139-102 Run

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