Steelers vs. Browns odds, line, spread: Thursday night football picks, NFL predictions from top model

The Pittsburgh Steelers and Cleveland Browns are both tied 1-1 after impressive wins as underdogs in Week 1, followed by narrow, disappointing losses in Week 2. Neither franchise will have to think long about it, however, as the two rivals from AFC North will compete against each other. tohead on Thursday Night Football in Week 3. The two teams split the last six matchups, but the series was previously dominated by the Steelers, with the Browns winning just three of 31 matchups.

Kickoff is at 8:15 p.m. ET in Cleveland. Caesars Sportsbook lists Cleveland as a 4.5-point favorite while the over/under, or total points Vegas believes will be scored, is 38 in the latest Steelers vs. Browns odds. Before you make any Browns vs. Steelers selection, it’s something you should definitely do View NFL predictions and recommended bets from SportsLine’s trusted computer model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has won more than $7,000 for $100 players with top-tier NFL picks since its inception. The model goes on to top ratings in Week 3 of the 2022 NFL season with an incredible 139-102 run NFL selection that goes back to the 2017 season.

The model has also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch in four of the last six years with straight NFL picks, beating more than 94% of CBS Sports football pick ’em players four times in that span. Whoever followed it is way up.

Now the model has set its sights on itself Steelers versus Brownsand just locked in his Thursday night football picks and predictions. You can now go to SportsLine to see the model selection. Well, here are several NFL Odds and betting lines for Browns vs. Steelers:

  • Spread between Steelers and Browns: Browns -4.5
  • Steelers vs. Browns over/under: 38 points
  • Steelers vs. Browns money line: Browns -220, Steelers +180
  • PIT: Steelers have played 9-10-1 against the spread for the last 20 games
  • CLE: Browns have played 8-11 against the spread in their last 19 games
  • Steelers vs. Browns tips: See tips at SportsLine

Featured Game | Cleveland Browns vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Why the Steelers can cover

Pittsburgh has strengths, but the Steelers should also benefit from Cleveland’s weaknesses by this point in the season. On offense, Cleveland is below the NFL average in passing yards and yards per attempt, and that plans to continue with Deshaun Watson. On defense, the Browns blatantly thwarted the Jets last week, giving up 31 points, and Cleveland are allowing 27.5 points per game. Cleveland is heavily underperforming in passing yards allowed, passing touchdowns allowed, net yards allowed per pass attempt, and third down defense. Pittsburgh is also strong on defense, giving up just 37 points in two games.

The Steelers have a top star in Minkah Fitzpatrick, who has two interceptions so far this season, and Pittsburgh is close to the top of the league in terms of interceptions (five) and revenue generation rate (25%). Opponents are producing just 4.0 yards per carry on the ground against the Steelers, and Mike Tomlin has an excellent reputation for having his team ready in sticky situations like a short week on the road in division play.

Why the Browns can cover

Cleveland opened its season with a 26-24 road win over the Panthers in what many believed to be Baker Mayfield’s revenge game. However, Kevin Stefanski and Alex Van Pelt put together a solid game plan, leaning heavily on the game in progress and asking quarterback Jacoby Brissett to take care of the football.

Cleveland rushed for 217 yards as a team in the Week 1 win, with Nick Chubb rushing for 141 yards while Kareem Hunt had 70 scrimmage yards and two touchdowns. Then the Browns followed a similar game plan against the Jets and looked set for a 2-0 start before breaking up and crushing a 13-point lead in the final two minutes. In a short week, expect a similar offensive scheme against the Steelers, who are ranked 22nd in the NFL in run defense in their first two games of the year.

How to make Browns vs. Steelers picks

SportsLine’s model takes the total and projects 40 combined points scored. The model also says that one side of the variance is true in well over 50% of the simulations. You can only see the model’s Steelers vs. Browns picks at SportsLine.

So, who will win Steelers vs. Browns on Thursday Night Football? And which side of the spread applies well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Browns vs. Steelers spread to jump to, all from the model, which is 139-102 on NFL picksand find out.

https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/steelers-vs-browns-odds-line-spread-thursday-night-football-picks-nfl-predictions-by-top-model/ Steelers vs. Browns odds, line, spread: Thursday night football picks, NFL predictions from top model

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