No matter how the old media tries to paint the upcoming midterm elections, it’s just not a pretty picture for the Democratic Party.
The latest evidence of this is a recent Trafalgar Group poll showing that even a 30-year incumbent in a state as blue as Washington — who ousted former Vice President Joe Biden by almost 20 points over former President Donald in less than two years Trump has led before — not sure this year.
That opinion pollconducted Wednesday through Saturday among 1,091 likely voters in the general election, showed five-year-old Democratic Sen. Patty Murray with 48.7 percent of the vote and relatively unknown first-time Republican nominee Tiffany Smiley with 46.5 percent.
With an error rate of 2.9 percent, the two candidates are about the same.
As a conservative radio host in Seattle Jason Rantz It said: “Smiley underperformed in the primary because of Democrat anger after defeating Roe v. Wade and gave the states access to abortion. Murray should lead by a lot more margin against a first-time contender.”
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Rantz argued that the recent negative ads at Smiley show how nervous Democrats are at the prospect of losing that seat.
“[I]With the knives out so early, Smiley is doing something right. And this race is winnable [for Republicans],” he said.
The poll also asked respondents about their party affiliation — 44.2 percent said they were Democrats, 33.4 percent said they were Republicans, and 22.4 percent said they were another party or no party at all.
Assuming all of those Democrats said they would vote for Murray, and all of those Republicans said they would vote for Smiley — which is probably close, at least within a point or two — that would mean only one in five of those others Party or independent Voters will be democratic.
Do you think Republicans will retake Congress this November?
Yes: 0% (0 votes)
No: 0% (0 votes)
The Democrats have worked hard to make it cancellation the central theme of 2022, but it doesn’t work, and for obvious reasons. in the the last few years About three out of every 200 women in the United States have had an abortion. But even in the US, about 200 out of 200 women feel the effects runaway inflation. About 200 out of 200 men.
Voters tend to blame the ruling party for everything that goes on in the country, rightly or wrongly — rightly so in this case. Certainly, some women care deeply about the “right” to murder their unborn babies — but not enough of that to offset the financial worries that pretty much every soccer mom, no matter what party they’re registered with, has these days.
If President Joe Biden were up for election in November, chances are the American people would kick him out of the White House because of the financial ruin his policies have brought to their country.
It’s not him, so they’ll try to give the boot to someone else. Murray looks like a fair substitute for voters who fret about inflation – and there are plenty of those.
Currently, Democrats control the Senate by razor-thin margins — in a 50-50 Senate, Vice President Kamala Harris casts the decisive 101st vote in the event of a tie. The edges don’t get any thinner.
That means Republicans could take over the Senate if even one seat changes hands in this election. If that happens at all, it will most likely take place in either Nevada or Georgia, depending Thirty-five. Arizona represents the next best opportunity, closely followed by New Hampshire and Colorado.
And then there’s Washington. I very much doubt that anyone in the Democratic Party predicted that they would have to spend money on attack advertising in Washington state this year just to try to stay in the Senate.
But this is not 2020; it is 2022. The pandemic is overbut its aftermath is still there very happy with us. That Border would need to be significantly tightened to qualify as a sieve. And while the Supreme Court may have put abortion back under state control, inflation has spiraled out of control everywhere.
It’s just not a pretty picture for the Democratic Party this year.
This article originally appeared on The West Journal.
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