Entering the 10th and final year of the 4 team college football playoff, we have a two-time defending champion in Georgia that is one of only five teams to win a title in the post-BCS era. It was oversaturation at the top, with the same teams playing in the most important games of the year. And if you are one of those lucky handful teams To Experience a CFP game, congratulations. If not, it’s disgusting to see the same thing Encounters over and over. A breakdown of what has happened in the last nine years of the CFP is nothing short of crazy.
Only 14 teams made it into the CFP, and half of them has this field made a championship game. Florida State, Washington, Michigan State and Cincinnati are one and done in CFP games. The trio of Oklahoma, Notre Dame and Michigan are a combined 0-8, with the Sooners suffering four losses in the playoffs alone. Oregon in the first CFP and TCU last year finished second nationally in their only playoff appearances. Joe Burrow led LSU to the championship in the Tigers’ only playoff appearance. Ohio State is the only team to appear in the CFP at least five times and only has one title to show for it. Then there’s this Dominance by Georgia, Clemson and Alabama to round out the group. So which teams outside of this group have the best chance of making the CFP this season?
Of the teams placed in the AP Top. 10, only Texas, USC and Penn State I’ve never taken the CFP before. The Longhorns are the only ones out there That trio didn’t come close to missing the playoffs, with Penn State clearly the fifth-best team in the country in 2016 and USC just one win away from making the playoffs last year before losing the Pac-12 title game and then the Cotton Bowl. Extension to AP Top. 15, three more teams that have never made it to the CFP Tennessee, Utah and Kansas State can be added to the list. They can prevent the Volunteers from breaking that streak this season after struggling at home to defeat Austin Peay at the FCS level. The other five non-CFPers mentioned above in the Top 15 cannot be ruled out. Scan the rest of the Top. 25, and I don’t see any legitimate candidate. So we’re at five.
It would be a great start if Kansas State survived a tougher matchup than most would expect on the road against Missouri on Saturday To the wildcats Manufacturing a New Year’s Six Bowl for the second year in a row. It wouldn’t shock me at all to see Texas face Kansas State in the Big 12 Championship Game later this season with CFP implications on the line. I’m leaning towards the Longhorns in this matchup because it would be foolish to bet against Quinn Ewers. Texas also has an equally good non-Conference win like any other in college football, last weekend on the road against Alabama. My top choice for anyone looking to buck the trend is the Longhorns, with the added context that the Big 12 will be easier to maneuver than the Pac-12 or Big Ten.
I will give Utah has the worst odds of the five that I think can get their first CFP this season. The Pac-12 is just too tough and considering how the Utes looked in the first two weeks, it seems like they suffered a few losses along the way probably. If Texas doesn’t make it, I give Penn State the best chance. This season, USC will have a bigger target, with Caleb Williams still the core of this team. Somehow it feels like the Nittany Lions are underrated in Big Ten circles with Ohio State and Michigan dominating those conversations.
Do you want a out of this world crazy Prediction for another team? Wyoming. The Cowboys have already beaten Texas Tech this season and one spot is open for a Group of Five contender with Tulane losing to Ole Miss. Who does Wyoming play this weekend? Texas. A win over the heavily favored Longhorns and the Cowboys will be on the CFP radar for the rest of the season as long as they remain undefeated.
https://deadspin.com/college-football-playoffs-texas-penn-state-wyoming-1850836792 The College Football Playoff system was boring